Recently cashed recent board picks that hit — the full graded record, wins and misses, is below
✓ William Contreras HR ✓ Jackson Merrill H+R+RBI ✓ Manny Machado H+R+RBI ✓ William Contreras H+R+RBI ✓ Manny Machado RBI ✓ William Contreras RBI ✓ Fernando Tatis Jr. RBI ✓ William Contreras TB ✓ Ben Rice HR ✓ Ben Rice H+R+RBI
% = HR chance · rank = weak-spot order (deep × contact × platoon × tto × velo × trend)
3 = batting order (confirmed lineups only)
sleeper = ≤10% HR but weak-spot-favored (long-shot value) · HOT = 2+ HR games in the last 10
tough HR spot / juicy HR spot = the game's HR environment (park × air) — tough = pitcher's park / heavy air / cold, a poorer place to bet a homer.
proj HR = the model's projected home runs in the game, summed over both full lineups — a forward-graded projection, not a pick.
air / air = Carry Index — how far balls carry tonight vs neutral (real air density + wind), computed per park. Environment tilt, not a pick.
A bat makes a board only when the weak-spot axes genuinely favor it. Informational — not betting advice.